PC and Liberals Tied in Toronto


TORONRO October 11th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 813 Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, just over one-third (36%) say they would support the Progressive Conservatives, while a third (33%) say they would support the Liberals, a statistical tie. Almost a quarter (23%) say they would support the NDP, while fewer than one in ten (6%) say they would support the Green Party, with (2%) saying they would support another party. Toronto Horserace Con Lib NDP Green February 10th, 2017 March 14th, 2017 April 13th, 2017 May 31st, 2017 June 27th, 2017 September 9th October 8th 0 10 20 30 40 Respondents most likely to say that they support the PCs include those aged 65+ (45%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (42%) or the most wealthy (39%), with some college/university (38%) or a college/university degree (41%), and living in North York (44%) or Etobicoke (42%). Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include females (36%), the least wealthy (42%), the least educated (40%), and living in the Former City of Toronto (38%). Respondents most likely to say they support the NDP includes those aged 34 and younger (30%), the least wealthy (28%) or earning $20,000-$40,000 (34%), with a post-graduate degree (26%), and living East York (38%). “The gap between the Liberals and PCs has narrowed once again in Toronto,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “While the Liberals would much prefer to lead in Toronto, where they desperately need to win most of the seats to have any hope of forming a government, narrowing the gap could be a victory, for now. For the PCs, though, even a tie with the Liberals in their Fortress Toronto should be heartening, as stealing seats from the Liberals here all but guarantees a Progressive Conservative Government.”

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